The director of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) said the Coronavirus death toll across the United States will be much lower than projected.
Dr. Robert Redfield, the head of the CDC, predicted on Tuesday that it will be “much, much, much lower” than what some models have shown—coming after tens of millions of Americans followed social distancing guidelines and numerous businesses were closed.
Coronavirus Death Toll Models
“First, models are only as good as their assumptions. Obviously, there was a lot unknown about this virus,” Redfield remarked to KVOI in Arizona.
Some models assumed only that about 50 percent of Americans would follow social distancing guidelines, he noted. Some models predicted anywhere from 100,000 deaths to more than 2 million deaths in the United States, depending on the mitigation efforts enacted by federal, state, and local officials.
Dr. Redfield said:
“In fact, what we’re seeing is a large majority of the American public are taking the social distancing recommendations to heart. And I think that’s the direct consequence of why you’re seeing the numbers are going to be Coronavirus Death Toll than would have been predicted by the models,”
Even if federal distancing guidelines were followed by a majority of Americans, some Trump administration officials had predicted that up to some 100,000 to 240,000 Americans would, unfortunately, die from contracting the COVID-19 virus.